Margo's Money & a Poll

El Paso Mayor Dee Margo put his campaign contributions on the agenda for the next meeting and turns out he did pretty nicely at his fundraiser. 

As you may recall, I wrote about the fundraiser last week. It was held the day they were holding the memorial services for a fallen deputy who was killed in the line of duty. You may also recall that I questioned why the contributions were reported on the last agenda. 

Anywho, he raised a pretty good chunk of money. The problem for Margo is that the money he raised just doesn't go very far. When Forma is your team, a big chunk of your money is eaten up in "consulting fees" and doesn't ever materialize in deliverables. So a hundred large is more like sixty. 

But the bigger problem for Margo is that he's going to need a lot more money than what he raised, or he's screwed. The reality is that former Mayor Oscar Leeser is going to win. 

I've made the mistake of underestimating Oscar Leeser and his name ID in the past. Margo is a Republican and the only Republican holding major elective office in El Paso County. The ONLY reason he won was because he was in a field of such terrible candidates. 

How bad? Remember David Saucedo on immigration? Can you imagine the shit show it would have been with Saucedo as mayor and Trump visiting El Paso? It would have been a desmadre!

But there is another - perhaps more important reason that Margo's money is going to be an issue. Word on the street was that a poll was run in the last couple of weeks. Any decent poll worth a damn would've sampled a large portion of the electorate. If you don't understand polling you have to sample x number of voters and get responses from a certain amount. The more you call and that actually answer and take the survey, the smaller the +/- number will be. 

Political circles are buzzing that Mayor Margo's numbers are in the tank. Somewhere around 16%. 

16%!!!

To get a decent poll, somewhere around 10,000 phone calls would've had to have been made. That means they wen't out to likely voters. That means a lot of you reading this probably got that call, so you probably know the approximate time frame this was done. 

Forma probably knows too. 

Hell, word on the street is that they ran a poll earlier and told him he was in trouble. 

But if 16% is even in the neighborhood of being accurate - Margo is in a LOT of trouble. And there really isn't enough money in the world that is going to help him out of a hole like that. 

Especially when you factor in the fact that Republicans are likely to not want to come out and support Margo after he did the right thing and stood up to Trump's lies about El Paso.

This is bad for Margo. 

Real bad.