Svarzbein Thumps Weisenberger

In a pretty decisive win, Peter Svarzbein thumped Al Weisenberger Saturday night to win the District 1 seat currently held by Ann Morgan Lily.

Before people start making excuses the reality is that turnout was similar in this election to what turnout is like in most municipal elections. And for a runoff election without any other issue on the ballot, it was pretty impressive. 

And anywhere you go in politics if you win by more than 10 percentage points, it's a pretty solid win.

Peter was up by only 7 votes in early voting. Then he extended his lead by far more than what the needle normally moves between early voting and Election Day. 

So David K is already stomping his feet and holding his breath over the fact that Peter won and even in the face of the obvious he still has this desire to try to sell you ocean front property in Arizona. The fact of the matter is that Peter's campaign showed we'd what ice said all along and what most people know to be true, grassroots organization and block walking are the most important part of a race. David K's logic is that there is something so completely different about the westside that normal campaign rules don't apply there. What's he gonna say next that gravity doesn't exist on the westside either?

DK uses examples of other people who walked (allegedly) and failed ad used that as justification for his point. Well hell, football teams routinely run a smiliar offense but one team wins the super bowl and another doesn't even make the playoffs. Does that mean the offense doesn't work? No, it means it wasn't executed properly or the team wasn't as good.

But let's let the data do the talking. In early voting Peter was only up by 7 votes. He pulled away big time on Election Day. 

There was no major scandal in this race (no matter how hard DK tried to manufacture one) and there was nothing significant that transpired that would sway the vote that drastically organically. So why the big jump in the margin of victory?

Under DK theory it would be some mysterious westside magical power that Peter managed to tap. But the truth is the answer is quite simple...it's a little thing called GOT muther effin' V.

It was an effective GOTV operation that accounted for the spike in Peter's support. He was simply better at getting his supporters to go out and vote. Because they knocked on doors and made phone calls.

DKs other little point about talking to a block walker who said most of the time people wherent home and they just left lit shows me DK hasn't really ever block walked. That's true of every campaign. I once heard a lady tell me her contact rate for block walking was 90%. That's the moment I knew she was lying. Most of the time you will get a lot of people not home that is a reality. But even leaving the lit at the door of a high-quality voter is a touch the other campaign isn't doing. The more you touch a voter, the more likely they are to vote the way you want them to. That's campaign 101.

While I'm on the topic, this is the race that people should be touting the campaign staff, not Dagda's. This campaign actually won. Which means the executed properly. So if anyone should be taking a bow it's Svarzbein's team. More on that later.

Obviously David K came out on the wrong end of this one and spent so much time trying to get Al elected that now he has to try to manufacture some sort of personal vendetta gains this parents company. That's silly and irresponsible and you can probably add that to the list of all the other shit he was wrong about in this race.

But he is right about Forma being done. That is coming up next...also there is going to be a couple of where are they news later today...