Impact of Gandara Arrest: Quick Thoughts
Okay, so details of what Gandara is being accused of aren't out yet, but I think its important to go over the political impact.
In America we are innocent until proven guilty, so we should proceed based on that assumption.
But in politics, people think the opposite. What that means is that this arrest is likely the end of Gandara's campaign for HD 75. I don't think that there is any question that he is unelectable at this time based on what he is facing. In fact, he's got more important things to deal with.
Some other possible impacts:
Will he stay on Commissioner's Court or will he resign his seat? His father stayed on as Mayor when he was indicted but he was recalled shortly thereafter. Depending on the complexity of the case, there is a possibility that he would resign. If that is the case, the County Judge would appoint a replacement.
Political contributions - Given his charges, people who received contributions from Gandara are going to be having to do some damage control. Ouch.
Suddenly in HD 75 there are no candidates with an established base of support in the deep valley. So that really opens things up.
The biggest question is what happens to Dora Oaxaca?
Dora is tough. Strong, strong woman. She's been through a lot in her life. Timing is everything in politics and she knew it was now or never when she threw her hat in the ring. She's no quitter.
But as I've written before, earlier this week in fact, she should've distanced herself from the Gandara's. She didn't and now she is going to be hurt by the association. He introduced her at her campaign announcement. He said she wasn't his friend, she was his family. With a headline like the one likely to be in the El Paso Times later this morning...I doubt her campaign can survive through the end of the month.
Ironically she has a fundraiser later today with the Sheriff's Officer's Association. That would really put the SOA in a tough spot, although I think Oaxaca and SOA's head hancho Mr. Marrufo go way back. And if memory serves, I think they endorsed Sarinana in PCT 1 when he was Commissioner after the FBI raided his office. Although Sarinana was never charged with anything. Gandara is, so this might be a different case.
At any rate, whatever the Association does, it is going to be scrutinized.
If I had to bet, knowing Dora's demeanor, it wouldn't surprise me one bit if she stayed in the campaign. Wouldn't surprise me at all.
Clearly the Gandara arrest is going to make a splash in the HD 75 race and will ripple in to the Precinct 3 race.
Perhaps even further.
In America we are innocent until proven guilty, so we should proceed based on that assumption.
But in politics, people think the opposite. What that means is that this arrest is likely the end of Gandara's campaign for HD 75. I don't think that there is any question that he is unelectable at this time based on what he is facing. In fact, he's got more important things to deal with.
Some other possible impacts:
Will he stay on Commissioner's Court or will he resign his seat? His father stayed on as Mayor when he was indicted but he was recalled shortly thereafter. Depending on the complexity of the case, there is a possibility that he would resign. If that is the case, the County Judge would appoint a replacement.
Political contributions - Given his charges, people who received contributions from Gandara are going to be having to do some damage control. Ouch.
Suddenly in HD 75 there are no candidates with an established base of support in the deep valley. So that really opens things up.
The biggest question is what happens to Dora Oaxaca?
Dora is tough. Strong, strong woman. She's been through a lot in her life. Timing is everything in politics and she knew it was now or never when she threw her hat in the ring. She's no quitter.
But as I've written before, earlier this week in fact, she should've distanced herself from the Gandara's. She didn't and now she is going to be hurt by the association. He introduced her at her campaign announcement. He said she wasn't his friend, she was his family. With a headline like the one likely to be in the El Paso Times later this morning...I doubt her campaign can survive through the end of the month.
Ironically she has a fundraiser later today with the Sheriff's Officer's Association. That would really put the SOA in a tough spot, although I think Oaxaca and SOA's head hancho Mr. Marrufo go way back. And if memory serves, I think they endorsed Sarinana in PCT 1 when he was Commissioner after the FBI raided his office. Although Sarinana was never charged with anything. Gandara is, so this might be a different case.
At any rate, whatever the Association does, it is going to be scrutinized.
If I had to bet, knowing Dora's demeanor, it wouldn't surprise me one bit if she stayed in the campaign. Wouldn't surprise me at all.
Clearly the Gandara arrest is going to make a splash in the HD 75 race and will ripple in to the Precinct 3 race.
Perhaps even further.
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