Follow-Up to Recall Election Date
The Recall Election will be held on Saturday, April 14th, 2012.
Let me just rip off the band aid and tell it like it is. That election date is really bad for Beto O'Rourke, Susie Byrd, Steve Ortega, and Mayor Cook.
Its bad for Byrd, Cook, and Ortega because its on a Saturday and its the second election in the month of April and the third election in 45 days. Its hard enough to get voters to come out for one election, much less a third in 45 days.
The good part about that is that it means that the most committed voters will be out in the polls, the question is are there more of them for the Recall than against it?
I'm inclined to think that more of the people that are FOR the Recall than against it will go to the polls for a third election. People are usually more inclined to vote against something than they are for it. In this case, you have a whole lot of people who will be voting against the members of council.
If Tom "I plead the 5th" Brown has shown one thing, its that he can mobilize religious and anti-gay voters to get to the polls. If he wasn't good at it, we wouldn't be having this conversation. Now he will have the benefit of adding people who aren't particularly religious or anti-gay on his side. This election is bad, bad, bad, news for Cook, Byrd, and Ortega.
Its also very bad for Beto O'Rourke. O'Rourke was one of the people on council who had the balls to do what's right. It was a controversial decision and he took the biggest political gamble of any member on council because he is the one running for congress right now.
Had the election been held in November, O'Rourke would probably be doing okay. I know for a fact that people that are getting their doors knocked on have issues with two things relating to O'Rourke. Domestic partner benefits and drug legalization.
Again, had the election been in November it wouldn't have been something he couldn't overcome.
But with an election in April, that means the pro-Recall people will be campaigning. It will become blurred with the other races. O'Rourke's position on domestic partner benefits, which is something he's never shied away from, will be put up on display by the pro-Recall people.
Congressman Reyes is going to end up being pulled in to this conversation too. The Congressman has been supportive of gay rights and gay rights is part of the Democratic platform. But there are a few wing nuts in the party that are anti-gay and for the recall. You can be sure that they are going to pull the Congressman in to this conversation in one shape or form.
The really frustrating part about this conversation is that there will be people who have the nerve to call themselves Democrats, that will be vocally supportive of the recall.
Let me just rip off the band aid and tell it like it is. That election date is really bad for Beto O'Rourke, Susie Byrd, Steve Ortega, and Mayor Cook.
Its bad for Byrd, Cook, and Ortega because its on a Saturday and its the second election in the month of April and the third election in 45 days. Its hard enough to get voters to come out for one election, much less a third in 45 days.
The good part about that is that it means that the most committed voters will be out in the polls, the question is are there more of them for the Recall than against it?
I'm inclined to think that more of the people that are FOR the Recall than against it will go to the polls for a third election. People are usually more inclined to vote against something than they are for it. In this case, you have a whole lot of people who will be voting against the members of council.
If Tom "I plead the 5th" Brown has shown one thing, its that he can mobilize religious and anti-gay voters to get to the polls. If he wasn't good at it, we wouldn't be having this conversation. Now he will have the benefit of adding people who aren't particularly religious or anti-gay on his side. This election is bad, bad, bad, news for Cook, Byrd, and Ortega.
Its also very bad for Beto O'Rourke. O'Rourke was one of the people on council who had the balls to do what's right. It was a controversial decision and he took the biggest political gamble of any member on council because he is the one running for congress right now.
Had the election been held in November, O'Rourke would probably be doing okay. I know for a fact that people that are getting their doors knocked on have issues with two things relating to O'Rourke. Domestic partner benefits and drug legalization.
Again, had the election been in November it wouldn't have been something he couldn't overcome.
But with an election in April, that means the pro-Recall people will be campaigning. It will become blurred with the other races. O'Rourke's position on domestic partner benefits, which is something he's never shied away from, will be put up on display by the pro-Recall people.
Congressman Reyes is going to end up being pulled in to this conversation too. The Congressman has been supportive of gay rights and gay rights is part of the Democratic platform. But there are a few wing nuts in the party that are anti-gay and for the recall. You can be sure that they are going to pull the Congressman in to this conversation in one shape or form.
The really frustrating part about this conversation is that there will be people who have the nerve to call themselves Democrats, that will be vocally supportive of the recall.
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